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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
2 - 1
Roma

Cancellieri (13'), Niang (90+3')
Gyasi (2'), Destro (34'), Marin (81'), Niang (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aouar (45+1')
Costa (90')

The Match

Match Report

Empoli pull off a great escape from the Serie A relegation zone on the final day with a 2-1 win over Roma, keeping Davide Nicola's men in Serie A as Frosinone go down.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
33.32% (-0.315 -0.31) 26.69% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 39.98% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.315 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (-0.366 -0.37)53.43% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (-0.311 -0.31)74.96% (0.31 0.31)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)30.17% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.465 -0.46)66.32% (0.464 0.46)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.21% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)61.3% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 33.32%
    Roma 39.98%
    Draw 26.68%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
27.2%
Draw
17.6%
Roma
55.2%
125
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
7-0
Empoli
Dybala (2' pen., 55'), Sanches (8'), Grassi (35' og.), Cristante (79'), Lukaku (82'), Mancini (86')
Dybala (38'), Sanches (39')

Cancellieri (39'), Maleh (58')
Feb 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Ibanez (2'), Abraham (6')
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Empoli
1-2
Roma
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
Jan 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 23
Empoli
2-4
Roma
Pinamonti (55'), Bajrami (72')
Tonelli (63'), Benassi (83')
Abraham (24', 33'), Oliveira (35'), Zaniolo (37')
Mancini (52'), Cristante (85')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Pellegrini (42'), Mkhitaryan (48')
Mancini (57'), Zaniolo (85')

Ricci (46'), Haas (56'), Stojanovic (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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