Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Roma |
33.32% ( -0.31) | 26.69% ( 0.08) | 39.98% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.57% ( -0.37) | 53.43% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.04% ( -0.31) | 74.96% ( 0.31) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -0.39) | 30.17% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.67% ( -0.46) | 66.32% ( 0.46) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% ( -0.04) | 26.21% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( -0.05) | 61.3% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.32% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |