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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Torino logo

Atalanta
3 - 0
Torino

Scamacca (26'), Lookman (43'), Pasalic (71' pen.)
Hien (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Linetty (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Torino

Torino may be tough to beat, but they are far less effective on the road; as the away side will most likely lie deep, Atalanta can play their way into the game following a few days of celebration, before scoring once to post a sixth straight Serie A win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
47.96% (0.012 0.01) 26.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.97% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)36.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)72.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.96%
    Torino 25.97%
    Draw 26.06%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Torino

Atalanta BC
75.0%
Draw
11.7%
Torino
13.3%
180
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Torino
3-0
Atalanta
Zapata (22', 90+5'), Sanabria (56' pen.)
Linetty (5'), Buongiorno (45+1')

Scalvini (9'), de Roon (75')
Apr 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Sanabria (75')
Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Atalanta
3-1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Vlasic (77')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 20
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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