Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | CF Montreal |
55.21% ( -1.42) | 23.15% ( 0.31) | 21.64% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.68% ( 0.04) | 46.32% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.39% ( 0.04) | 68.6% ( -0.05) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% ( -0.48) | 16.63% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.53% ( -0.87) | 46.47% ( 0.86) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.4% ( 1.12) | 35.6% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.63% ( 1.14) | 72.37% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | CF Montreal |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 55.21% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.91% Total : 21.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |