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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Portland Timbers

Minnesota Utd
2 - 1
Portland

Lod (65'), Sang-bin (82')
Tapias (42'), Sang-bin (90+8'), Trapp (90+13')
Tapias (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (17')
Rodriguez (42'), Evander (44'), Araujo (67'), Chara (67'), Asprilla (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Portland Timbers

Portland may be high on confidence after a fantastic comeback victory during midweek, but Ramsay's men have proved to be a difficult team to beat in their matches this season. Minnesota have won both the last two meetings between these sides, while they have not lost at home in this fixture in any of the last seven, leading us to believe the hosts will be victorious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
52.83% (-0.59 -0.59) 22.11% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 25.05% (0.519 0.52)
Both teams to score 61.55% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.11% (0.211 0.21)37.89% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.85% (0.225 0.23)60.14% (-0.23 -0.23)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (-0.119 -0.12)14.47% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)42.44% (0.223 0.22)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.515 0.52)28.04% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (0.651 0.65)63.69% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 52.83%
    Portland Timbers 25.05%
    Draw 22.12%
Minnesota UnitedDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 25.05%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Portland

Minnesota United
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Portland Timbers
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
4-1
Portland
Chara (43' og.), Reynoso (45+4', 77'), Hlongwane (74')
Tapias (13'), Heath (14'), Boxall (16'), Dotson (21'), Taylor (34'), Reynoso (73')
Boli (60')
Paredes (90+1')
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Portland
0-1
Minnesota Utd

McGraw (63'), Bravo (67'), Zuparic (84')
Hlongwane (90+5')
Boxall (82'), Hlongwane (90+5')
Jul 30, 2022 8pm
Minnesota Utd
4-4
Portland
Fragapane (9'), Hlongwane (21'), Amarilla (41', 69')
Boxall (53'), Arriaga (72'), Benitez (75'), Reynoso (90'), Lod (90+3')
Blanco (1', 50'), Niezgoda (53'), Lawrence (65' og.)
Chara (18'), Chara (63'), Ayala (73'), Asprilla (83')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30pm
Portland
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')
Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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