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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Austin
3 - 2
Kansas

Obrian (28', 39'), Driussi (46')
Cascante (23'), Kolmanic (70'), Pereira (89'), Valencia (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Russell (19'), Davis (63')
Fontas (88'), Radoja (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

Austin have been brilliant at home in their recent outings and are now on the verge of breaking their record for most successive wins at home since joining the MLS, and we believe they will do just that with a victory against an out-of-sorts Kansas. This fixture has provided plenty of goals in their recent meetings, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
42.33% (0.394 0.39) 24.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.47% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (-0.16 -0.16)42.41% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (-0.159 -0.16)64.82% (0.155 0.16)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.107 0.11)20.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.174 0.17)52.54% (-0.178 -0.18)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.31 -0.31)24.73% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-0.435 -0.43)59.28% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 42.33%
    Sporting Kansas City 33.48%
    Draw 24.18%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.48%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 2.30am
Austin
2-1
Kansas
Zardes (17'), Finlay (19')
Cascante (59')
Rosero (33')
Fontas (8'), Vermes (9'), Davis (53')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
4-1
Austin
Pulido (19', 57'), Castellanos (47'), Shelton (89')
Radoja (61'), Thommy (87')
Driussi (61')
Cascante (52'), Zardes (60')
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Austin
4-3
Kansas
Gabrielsen (68'), Driussi (90+5')
Agade (86'), Salloi (88')
Jul 31, 2022 1.30am
Kansas
0-2
Austin

Duke (39'), Sweat (73')
Duke (43')
Ring (45+1'), Driussi (90')
Cascante (25'), Pereira (38'), Urruti (42')
Nov 4, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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