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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 6
Sagan Tosu

FT(HT: 0-2)
Ono (2', 30', 49' pen.), Horigome (63'), Fujiwara (86'), Kabayama (90+3')
Narahara (72'), Horigome (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Sagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare have only won one game in the league in front of their home fans so far this campaign, so we can see the away team prevailing here. Sagan Tosu do not tend to score many goals, so this could be a close encounter, but we expect the visitors to have too much quality this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
46.95% (-2.047 -2.05) 25.28% (0.174 0.17) 27.78% (1.875 1.88)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.975 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (0.558 0.56)49.86% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (0.498 0.5)71.85% (-0.495 -0.5)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.655 -0.66)21.25% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-1.026 -1.03)54.17% (1.028 1.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (1.788 1.79)32.27% (-1.785 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (1.974 1.97)68.76% (-1.972 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 46.95%
    Sagan Tosu 27.78%
    Draw 25.27%
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.532 -0.53)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.181 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.364 0.36)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.317 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.78%

How you voted: Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu

Shonan Bellmare
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Sagan Tosu
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 1
Sagan Tosu
1-5
Shonan Bellmare
Ono (45+9')
Ohashi (3', 36', 60'), Hiraoka (45+5'), Onose (64')
Oct 29, 2022 7am
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Oct 16, 2021 6am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Sakai (73')
Machino (19')
Feb 27, 2021 6am
Gameweek 1
Shonan Bellmare
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Nakamura (62')
Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo176742319425
10Tokyo Verdy175932626024
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol165741721-422
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Albirex Niigata175482226-419
15Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
16Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Kyoto Sanga1725101331-1811
20Consadole SapporoConsadole1725101636-2011


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